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News

  Analyst: Sony Should Consider PS3 Price Cuts In Tough Holiday Battle
by Leigh Alexander
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October 8, 2008
 
Analyst: Sony Should Consider PS3 Price Cuts In Tough Holiday Battle
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With production costs still a formidable challenge, Sony has said not to expect Christmas price cuts for the PlayStation 3 -- but EEDAR analyst Jesse Divnich believes the PS3 may be taking a big hit from recent Xbox 360 price reductions.

Ahead of September's NPD results expected next week, analysts are bracing for a mixed bag in video game performance. The month's results are expected to suffer greatly in year-over-year comparisons to last year's September, when Halo 3 saw its record-breaking launch.

Despite this, Divnich estimates that Xbox 360 sold 320,000 units in September -- a new monthly record for the console, and a 31 percent weekly sales increase over August. On the other hand, Divnich anticipates PS3 sales to decline 7 percent to 43,000 units a week.

While the analyst says the surge in sales is largely attributable to mainstream consumers attracted to the Xbox 360 Arcade SKU's sub-$200 price point, Divnich warns the monthly NPD may turn out to show the PS3 suffering by comparison.

"We still urge Sony to consider a possible hardware price cut this holiday season," says Divnich. If September hardware sales fall below our estimate (under 200,000 units), it could be an indication that the Xbox 360 price cut played a bigger role on hindering PS3 sales than what we originally expected."

In stating that it had no plans to reduce PS3 prices, Sony has instead touted its software lineup as its primary strength for the crucial holiday season. While Divnich agrees that titles like Resistance 2 and LittleBigPlanet are likely to drive core adoption of the PS3, he also expressed "doubts that either title will lure in casual and mainstream gamers."

"The $399 price point is simply too steep to entice the casual and mainstream markets, regardless of how great Resistance 2 and LittleBigPlanet may be," he says.

Moreover, Divnich anticipates that Gears of War 2 will be the season's top-selling game -- and if the rest of Microsoft's first-party software outperforms Sony's in quality and popularity, it could spell further trouble for the PS3.

"We could begin to see a considerable amount of potential PS3 owners, who may be waiting for a PS3 price cut, to choose the Xbox 360 over the PS3," says Divnich.
 
   
 
Comments

David Saunders
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Hey Sony, if you chop the price you'll get my $. No chop, no $.

Anonymous
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If they chop the price on the backwards-compatable unit, maybe.

Brian Pleshek
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It isn't backwards compatible out of the box?

Brian

Brian Pleshek
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It isn't backwards compatible out of the box?

Brian

Brian Pleshek
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It isn't backwards compatible out of the box?

Brian

Michael DiMichele
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I own a 360, and I'm sick of waiting on an HD format player. If I could get a PS3 for $300, I'd get it. If Microsoft launches a Blu-Ray external player for $150, I'd get it instead, and pass on the 360. Sony has a chance to dig into the market of 360 owners like me... if they act fast and drop their price. I'm getting one or the other by Christmas. I don't care if it plugs into a Wii, I will have Blu-Ray on my TV before New Years.

Michael DiMichele
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Sorry, I meant I'd pass on the PS3.

Glenn McMath
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Brian, only the high end model PS3 is still backward compatable (I think)... they stripped that functionality out of the lower end versions a while back for some reason. Maybe it was to justify the price gap, but that's dumb, because ever since the European launch, the BC has been software based... but anyway there you go...

Benjamin M.
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The 20GB and 60GB PS3s' have full backwards-compatibility, while the 80GB has limited BC via software emulation like the 360. The 40GB appears to not have any BC capabilities at all. I'm not a PS3 and none of this information makes me one bit of difference. Stick with the Xbox 360 and to the bowels of Hell with blu-ray! :)

Benjamin M.
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Sorry, *not a PS3 fan


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