| Muzie - |
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Interesting data - thought there are some questions...
How can WoW sell 1.4 million and not show up in the top 10? Also Blizzard actually sent out a press release specifying they sold 2.8 million copies the first day, not 1.4 million on the month. These are probably just differences in methodology, though I wonder why. |
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| Matt Ponton |
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Muzie, I believe NPD factors the PC sales in a different top 10, PC isn't included in the console software top 10.
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| John Petersen |
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Oh it's comin'. Maybe not this X-mas because the recession is just now starting to work it's wonders, and people want to make it as good a X-mas as possible this year.
But come this time next year? That's gonna be a different story. Actually, I estimate summer time 09. Better enjoy it while you can. |
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| Vlado Jokic |
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I partially agree with John. We will see less money being spent on entertainment overall, however I don't see the gaming industry getting hit as hard as other forms of entertainment.
I believe we will see a continued shift of spending from movies and music towards gaming due to the higher benefit/cost ratio that game products provide the buyer, in terms of value per dollar spent. I also think we will see an increase in spending on smaller, cheaper games, like those on XBLA over big blockbuster titles that are priced in the $40+ range. Once again, the argument goes to the benefit/cost ratio as in many cases a $10 game might give you the a competitive number of play hours as a more expensive title. Most people will see it easier to part with $10 twice a month, than $40 in one transaction. Cash-flow issues during the recession will help further encourage this type of behavior. Does anyone else see things working out differently in 2009? |
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| Mike Lopez |
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I say there is no way next year is worse than this year, regardless of the world economic situation. Historically economic downturns have not adversely affected games and if it is not happening in the present situation with daily doses of massively bad economic news it is not going to happen ever. Also there will be another full year of hardware sales meaning a larger market for software.
Over the long run I do see people moving to downloadable games but only when the same games are available either at retail or download AND it is cheaper and more convenient to get on-line. I suspect these conditions are more than one year away still but I think they have little to do with the current economic situation throughout the world and more to do with publishers careful transition to download (not wanting to piss off their distributors who currently make up the bulk of their sales). |
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| Jordan Hample |
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@Mike
Next year will see smaller sales. If not because of the economy than because of titles launching next year. This year saw huge blockbuster titles (R2,Gears2,LBP,MGS4,GTA4,etc). There are a few big games due next year but not such a huge line up across all consoles. The combination of that and the economy means much smaller sales. |
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