Nintendo saw its share price fall to the lowest it has been in more than five years yesterday, as analysts said they were sceptical about the potential success of the new Wii U console.
The company noted a 5.7 percent decrease in share price to ¥16,930 ($212.00) at close of trading yesterday, with more than 2.2 million shares bought and sold. This compares to a daily average of 720,000 for the last six months.
Talking to financial website Bloomberg, Yusuke Tsunoda, an analyst at Tokai Tokyo Securities Co., explained, "There were high expectations from the new version of the Wii and this fell far short."
"People had expected to see something more at a big event like the E3, but there wasn’t really anything more than what’s already reported."
The upcoming console, set to be released in 2012, will feature HD graphics and a built-in 6.2" touchscreen, and is meant to offer "a new structure for home entertainment".
In addition to its touchscreen, Wii U's tablet-inspired controller features motion controls and an in-ward facing camera -- which was demonstrated with a FaceTime-style video chat session between two users.
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While I don't think the Wii U is necessarily for me, as I've already got a HD console and I can't see the touchscreen on a controller (and only one controller) being a big draw for me, I can see a lot of Wii-only gamers getting drawn into the awesome HD games the rest of us have been playing for the last 5 (or more if peeps have been on PC) years) - I'm not sure it'll sell like the original Wii, as I can't see the touchscreen controller being as instantly and easily marketable as the whole "Grandma waving a Wiimote on the couch and laughing" thing, which is a big factor behind the Wii's sales, but I have no doubt it'll do very well. Retro studios not having anything for this E3 suggests they're working on something as well, and Retro are by far and beyond Ninty's best studio these days.
And if analysts expected Wii-type sales to strike twice, then they really were stupid ;).
Although the name is terrible---I see some great potential in WiiU(i hate saying and writing it) And to see that there are some great 3rd parties excited to experiment--I am super pleased.
Also, I've seen a lot of negative comments about it (about 60% of all comments, from what I've seen). Where have you been reading?
Oh, and don't get me wrong: I loved WiiU... WHEN I UNDERSTOOD WHAT IT WAS.
Further, none of Nintendo's weaknesses were addressed at e3: 1)online presence (currently close to nill), 2) functionality of console beyond game playing (currently nill, save netflix), 3) compelling reason to choose Nintendo console over competitors (currently nill except for Nintendo IP) 4)image of Nintendo as a company that makes things for kids and grandparents 5)brutal 3rd party support. Yes the new controller is interesting, but the vibe around revolution in 05/06 was all together different.
So from an analyst point of view:
high stock price + wii sales in tailspin + 3ds sales mediocre to poor + nextgen console sales strategy murky--->assessment based on probability and not faith--->sell.
Feel free to disagree and buy some shares asthe future's uncertain (and the end is always near); but I have a hard time arguing with the decision to dump shares.
When I first saw it and started watching some videos, I wasn't sure if it was a new home console, a new portable or a new controller. The videos were not very clear at first and I didn't even see a clear picture of the actual system. All they kept showing was the controller. I had to look at some of the videos carefully in order to see the console. Honestly, they didn't do a good job presenting the system in my opinion, but there probably is more to come.
It sounds like a risky venture to me, but apparently they still have more to say; hopefully they can address some of our concerns. I think it was too early to dump shares, but unless they give some concrete information by the time E3 is over, its probably the best move.
These were addressed.
I guess I just jumped the gun too quickly. :P
Which leaves the controller as the differentiating factor; that may be a substantial one, but it's too early to really tell. The risky part for Nintendo is hanging their upside potential all on one feature. At least with the Wii, Nintendo had two key advantages: A substantial price advantage, and motion control. Now motion control is no longer unique to Nintendo, and apparently they will have no price advantage.
Nintendo's controller advantage may also be transitory; Microsoft has shown Windows Phone 7 phones working with the 360, and Sony could certainly do similar things with the PS Vita (and probably Android phones as well).
The stock price swoon seems perfectly justified to me. Nintendo can certainly turn things around, but I have yet to hear of a plan for turning 3DS sales around other than putting out some hopefully great new games and figuring that will boost sales. Maybe... maybe not. Nintendo was counting on 3D to be the prime selling point of the 3DS (hence the name!), but that doesn't seem to be that important to customers; Nintendo's even been trying to backtrack on the importance of 3D to the 3DS.
Worse, nothing they are doing seems to answer concerns about the impact of smartphones and tablets on their sales, or digital distribution, or social gaming, or indeed anything online.
I'm shocked by Nintendo's fall into banality.
In case of the U, why would I want to play console games with a bulky Game Gear as a controller?
Nintendo has shown that they are selfish and lazy. No support for the Wii...why? Only one newly-announced game for the 3DS...why? A sequel to the failed game that sank the Gamecube? Really? And are we really going to get barely-updated versions of Wii Sports and Wii Fit with tablet features no one ever wanted? Mii characters cut and pasted onto a hacked rerun of Super Mario 5?
Nintendo is also building a reputation for being unreliable and undependable. They build a new gadget, use it only once or twice, then throw it away and move onto the next little trinket. Where are the Motion Plus games? Where are the Wiimote's motion-control games? What about the Wii Balance Board? Remember the Gamecube-GBA connector? Remember the E-Reader?
Nintendo promises a new world of innovative videogames, then they quit and walk away after one or two pet projects because they just can't be bothered to put in any effort. Here's a sequel to Luigi's Mansion that nobody asked for. It was a miserable failure on the Gamecube, and it will be a failure again. But Miyamoto makes it beacause that's what he wants. Building on Wii Sports and Wii Play? Can't be bothered. They're through with motion controls. He can't even be bothered to come up with new games for the Wii U! These new versions of Wii Sports, Wii Fit, and Super Mario 5 are what the kids call "hacks." Hmph. Pretty much sums up the company, too.
What reason is there to believe that Nintendo will show any more support to their tablet controller? They'll come up with a novel use or two, publish a couple of early launch games, and then walk away. We're done! On to the next trinket! To hell with what the market demands and what the fans demand. Miyamoto will only do what HE wants, and on his schedule. And on your dime.
Last year, the Wii got Wii Party (from the makers of Mario Party) and Kirby. This year: another Mario Party and another Kirby. And the latest Puzzle Zelda that has been sitting on a shelf for over a year. It will do just about as well as the last three or four Puzzle Zeldas. How about a 2D, 4-player New Legend of Zelda? How about a new Ice Hockey, or Rad Racer, or RC Pro Am, or Gauntlet? How about something like Wii Tanks? How about a Wii sword fighting game? Why don't I have a damned lightsaber game? Who the hell's legs do I have to break to get something done around here?!
Nintendo absolutely refuses to fulfill their promises or provide the market what it demands. Meanwhile, the Wii's core audience - the fans who turned the Wii Series, Mario Kart, Mario 5, and Just Dance into megahits - are seething and frustrated. There's a lot of anger bubbling under the surface.
When Wii was released, they got all those developers talking about the "possibilities". They showed all these concept designs and sold the Wii's with these promises of imaginary "incredible games" that are going to come, possibilities were endless...
Years passed, and none of those dreams came true. No one got those "incredible games" doing those "revolutionary" stuff. All we got were the usual games with some gimmicky controls here and there once in a while, like fishing mini-games...
Now the year 2011 and Nintendo is back at it again.
http://lmgtfy.com/?q=%22wii+u%22+possibilities
Talking about the "possibilities" of their new system. If I believed in people, I'd say maybe this time they got wiser and would be skeptical about giving out their money for empty promises. But it is probably as stated earlier, that people got confused if this is a new console or a controller.
By the way, everyone already implemented (cough*copied*cough) the idea:
Apple:
http://www.joystiq.com/2011/06/09/onlive-player-app-for-ipad-and-andr oid-brings-
tablet-tv-integrat/
Sony:
http://www.escapistmagazine.com/news/view/110836-Sony-PS3-and-PS-Vita -Could-Repl
icate-Wii-U
Microsoft:
Already mentioned above on this page on other replies.
These is also the disappointment about the:
"America president Reggie Fils-Aime flatly admitted that much of the footage in the "sizzle reel" was in fact of games running on the PlayStation 3 or Xbox 360."
http://e3.gamespot.com/story/6318243/e3-2011-wii-u-third-party-montag e-actually-
xbox-360-ps3-pc-footage
So here we go I guess, there seems to be multiple reasons for the stock prices dropping.