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Analyze This: Which Console Will Win 2007? (...And Other Humble Guesses for the Year)
On Nintendo and the Wii... "If Nintendo doesn't hit any production hiccups, they could win this year's shipments crown. As far as winning this generation, I think they will need to move beyond the Wiimote as the main focus and round out the other aspects of their offering. Their system will age faster due to the lack of high-end graphics and HD resolution, so building out their online network, creating DS and Wii interactivity, all of these extras will be important to the Wii." On Microsoft and the Xbox 360... "I expect lots of software enhancements in first half [of 2007] around Xbox Live, and then a hardware upgrade -- most likely a larger hard drive -- corresponding with a die-shrink for the Xenon [the Xbox 360 processor].
I think they will drop the price only if they are seeing slowing momentum for hardware sales or if Sony drops their price. A price drop combined with upgraded hardware and Halo 3 at the end of 2007 would definitely give them momentum for the holiday season." On Sony and the PlayStation 3... "They definitely care about video games, since the PS2 was such as large profit contributor. If you take that away, Sony is in trouble as a company. Blu-ray is a double-edged sword for Sony, since including it in the PS3 may be what ultimately makes the format a winner in the HD disc wars, but it also hurts profitability and demand for the console due to higher average selling price. Unfortunately for Sony, they are locked in and need to just adjust, and their biggest focus should be winning back some exclusives and getting out a console seller [game title]. They also need to get their online service to at least close to par with Xbox Live, which will be hard because Microsoft is not standing still." |
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